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RWE has concluded a successful 2024 fiscal year, surpassing earnings expectations. The company reported an adjusted EBITDA of €5.7 billion and adjusted net income of €2.3 billion. RWE continued to expand its portfolio, investing a total of €10 billion in offshore and onshore wind farms, solar projects, battery storage systems, and electrolysers. The company commissioned new plants with a total capacity of around 2 gigawatts (GW) during 2024. RWE also set a new record in electricity generation, with nearly 50 terawatt-hours of renewable energy produced. This contributed to a 13% reduction in CO2 emissions from electricity generation. Looking ahead, RWE expects a significant rise in global electricity demand driven by further electrification and the growth of artificial intelligence. The company is well-positioned to meet this demand with its integrated portfolio of renewables, energy storage, and flexible generation, as well as a broad pipeline of potential new projects. However, investments in wind and solar farms, energy storage, electrolysers, and flexible power plants are long-term undertakings that require stable and reliable regulatory conditions. In response to challenges such as regulatory uncertainties, supply chain constraints, geopolitical risks, and rising interest rates, RWE has raised the required rate of return for new projects from an average of 8% to over 8.5%. Consequently, the company has reduced its planned investments for the coming years, now targeting €35 billion in net investments from 2025 to 2030, approximately €10 billion less than initially planned. In November, RWE announced a delay in its offshore wind investments in the US due to heightened risks, as well as a slower-than-expected ramp-up of the European hydrogen economy. The funds saved will be allocated to a share buyback program of up to €1.5 billion, expected to be completed by Q2 2026. Business Performance in 2024 For fiscal 2024, RWE reported an adjusted EBITDA of €5.7 billion, surpassing initial forecasts. Adjusted net income was €2.3 billion, also exceeding expectations. However, earnings were lower than the previous year as anticipated. In light of this strong performance, RWE has confirmed a dividend proposal of €1.10 per share for fiscal 2024, up €0.10 from the previous year. Segment Performance: Offshore Wind: Adjusted EBITDA for the offshore wind segment was €1.6 billion, down from €1.7 billion in 2023. The decline was primarily due to lower electricity prices from forward sales and higher repair and maintenance costs. Onshore Wind/Solar: This segment saw an adjusted EBITDA of €1.5 billion, up from €1.2 billion in 2023. The increase was driven by the commissioning of new wind and solar farms and contributions from the US-based Con Edison Clean Energy Businesses, acquired in March 2023. Flexible Generation: Adjusted EBITDA for flexible generation was €1.9 billion, down from €3.2 billion the previous year. While income from short-term power plant optimization exceeded expectations, it was significantly lower than the record levels achieved in 2023. Supply & Trading: The Supply & Trading segment delivered an adjusted EBITDA of €0.7 billion, outperforming guidance. However, this was significantly lower than the exceptional €1.6 billion posted in the previous year.RWE has restructured its lignite power generation and nuclear decommissioning activities into a new segment, Phaseout Technologies, which is now managed based on adjusted cash flows. These businesses are no longer included in the adjusted EBITDA, EBIT, or net income calculations. Solid Financial Position Despite High Investments As of December 31, 2024, RWE reported an increase in net debt to €11.2 billion, driven by high capital expenditures. However, strong operating cash flow and the sale of a stake in the Dogger Bank South offshore wind project to Masdar helped reduce debt. The company’s leverage ratio, calculated as net debt to adjusted EBITDA, stood at 2.0, well below the company’s self-imposed upper limit of 3.0. Outlook for 2025 and Mid-Term Targets For fiscal 2025, RWE expects adjusted EBITDA to range between €4.55 billion and €5.15 billion, with adjusted net income forecasted between €1.3 billion and €1.8 billion. The outlook is based on expectations for the normalization of margins from electricity sales and short-term power plant optimization. The commissioning of new wind and solar farms, along with battery storage facilities, is expected to positively impact results. RWE’s solid financial position, combined with its strong pipeline of renewable energy projects, positions the company well for continued growth in the years ahead. |